F1 Championship Predictions
2026 Season
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Championship Win Probability
|
|
Driver
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 156.0 | 51.8% ±14.5 | |
| 2 | 90.0 | 13.2% ±9.8 | |
| 3 | 88.0 | 9.4% ±8.5 | |
| 4 | 75.0 | 6.6% ±7.2 | |
| 5 | 60.0 | 5.4% ±6.6 | |
| 6 | 58.0 | 2.8% ±4.8 | |
| 7 | 43.0 | 2.2% ±4.2 | |
| 8 | 29.0 | 1.2% ±3.1 | |
| 9 | 26.0 | 1.3% ±3.2 | |
| 10 | 26.0 | 1.5% ±3.5 | |
| 11 | 18.0 | 0.8% ±2.5 | |
| 12 | 15.0 | 1.1% ±3.0 | |
| 13 | 13.0 | 0.3% ±1.6 | |
| 14 | 6.0 | 0.6% ±2.3 | |
| 15 | 5.0 | 0.3% ±1.7 | |
| 16 | 3.0 | 0.6% ±2.2 | |
| 17 | 2.0 | 0.4% ±1.8 | |
| 18 | 1.0 | 0.1% ±0.9 | |
| 41 | 0.0 | 0.1% ±1.0 | |
| 42 | 0.0 | 0.1% ±0.9 | |
| 43 | 0.0 | 0.2% ±1.4 | |
| 44 | 0.0 | 0.1% ±1.0 |
Based on 10,000 simulated season outcomes per race
Odds Progression
Shaded areas show 95% confidence intervals. Bands are wider early in the season when more races remain and the outcome is less certain, narrowing as the championship progresses. Only the top 5 contenders are shown by default — click the legend to toggle others.
Race Calendar
|
Round
|
Race
|
Status
|
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne | |
| 2 | Shanghai | |
| 3 | Suzuka | |
| 4 | Miami | |
| 5 | Montreal | |
| 6 | Monte Carlo | |
| 7 | Barcelona | |
| 8 | Spielberg | |
| 9 | Silverstone | |
| 10 | Spa | |
| 11 | Budapest | |
| 12 | Zandvoort | |
| 13 | Monza | |
| 14 | Madrid | |
| 15 | Baku | |
| 16 | Marina Bay | |
| 17 | Austin | |
| 18 | Mexico City | |
| 19 | São Paulo | |
| 20 | Las Vegas | |
| 21 | Lusail | |
| 22 | Abu Dhabi |